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Saturday, November 29, 2014

FREE INFOS 29.11.2014

Brazil Serie A Fluminense – Corintians
2 rounds till end of season, Corinthians need points, they want to stay on 3rd plce and get direct place in Copa Libertadores (if they finish 4th they go in qualifications). Fluminense play for nothing, only for their pride and their fans.
Fluminense without many important defenders maybe best central defender in squad Gum(df 14/0) is long term injured, his replacements Henrique(df 11/0) is also out, Bruno(df 29/0) and another CD Elivelton(df 24/1) are injjured too, important midifler Jean(mf 35/2) is out due to injury also.


England Prmier LEague
Burnley – Aston Villa
Burnley finally started with wins, now they have 2 wins in a row!
Aston Villa still big injury concerns (and 1 suspended too), Senderos(df 8/0), captain Vlaar(Df 7/0), Baker(df 7/0), key midifler Delph(mf 7/0) and Kozak(att 0/0) are injured, so you see 3 central defenders out (same like in last match).. also best striker Benteke(att 4/0) is suspended.
In last match Aston Villa get a draw only because of stupid mistake of Southampton’s keeper otherwise they would lose for sure….


Turkish 2 League
Adana Demirspor – Orduspor
odds for home win dropped so no more value in my eyes.

Adana Demirspor is promotion candidate, they have amazing team. They bring many good experienced players who last season played in 1st Turkish league and also they bring Mulenga(top striker from utrecht). they should win this easily.
Big problems for Oruspor, you all know about their inside problems and problems with finances. After last season all key players left club and now they have very weak team, you can see that they are last on table with only 4 points. They have 6 lost matches in a row. Atmosfhere is very very bad.
For this match they will miss 7 players. Out are: best midifler Michel Landel(mf 8/1), Ali Güzeldal(att 5/0), Emre Aygün(att 3/0), key defender Souleymana Tandia(df 3/0), Cemre Atmaca(att 4/0), Adem Sağlam(df 5/0) and imp defender Volkan Koçaloğlu(df 8/0).
4 of this players were starters in last league match…
Big problems on Centrel defender position because 3 CD (Kocaloglu, tandia and Saglam) are all out …


Germany Regionalliga Baunatal – Nottingen
Big problems for guests (Nottingen). They could miss up to nine players
experienced striker Sebastian Hofmann(att 14/2), Felix Zachmann(mf 5/0), important defender Sascha Walter(df 17/1), important defender Holger Fuchs(df 16/1), Mario Hohn(mf 9/0), Niklas Hecht-Zirpel(att 0/0), best striker Michael Schürg(att 17/8 top scorer), important midifler  Niko Dobros(mf 17/2) und Daniel Schiek(att 14/0) are all carrying injuries.
There is only small chances for Hohn(mf 9/0) to recover for this match but those chances are minimal. SChieck(att 14/0) and Dobros(mf 17/2) are questionable, still chances to play this match.


Belgium Westerlo – Sporting Charleroi
New promoted team Westerlo with serious problems injuries and suspensions, 5 regulars are out. key midifler Annys(mf 14/3) is suspended, Sno(mf 2/0) is long term injured, key CD Schuermans(df 13/1),MacDonald(att 7/1) and best striker Gounoungbe(att 9/9 top scorer) are all injured.


Italy Serie B Ternana – Catania
Catania have very strong team for this league but they started bad and now they are struggling in middle of table, for this match they have enorous long list of absences, Capuano(df 11/0) and Escalante(mf 8/1) are suspended, Sauro(df 13/1),Gyobmber(df 6/0),Peruzzi(df 11/0),Martinho(mf 11/4),Barisic(att 2/0),Aveno(att 0/0),Castro(mf 7/0) and Anania(first gk 6/0) are all injured. 10 players are out!


Varese – Vicenza
Vicenza will miss four important players, Ragusa(att 8/3) and Garcia(df 13/1) are injured, Di Gennaro(mf 12/1) and Moretti(mf 9/2) are suspended, Maritato(Att 3/0) and Tutino(att 0/0) are long term injured…
Varese is unbeatean on home ground 4w-3d-0l


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FREE PICKS 29.11.2014

Hungary
MTK – Pecsi

no home field adantage for MTK, match will be played on neutral venue.
they already met once this season, Pecsi 0-4 MTK.
MTK is 2nd placed team on table, they are playing good but on last two matches on home ground they lost so now they simply must win. On home ground before last two rounds have 5w-0d-0l, now they have 5w-0d-2l … they have some absences but not so important.
Pecsi in mess currently, bad atmosfere, very bad form and many absences. They are 2nd from bottom, have 6 lost matches in a row (in last 2 matches they concede 7 goals from average teams like Nyregyhaza 11th placed and Gyor 9th placed..), what should do them today 2nd best team in league?? Pecsi like i said have big problems with absences, especially in defence because 3 regular defenders are missings!! POleksic(first gk 8/0), two starting central defenders Romic(df 13/0) and Balogh(df 15/1), LB Mohl(df 13/2) is suspended, Beke(mf 0/0), Witteridi(mf 8/1) and Granicz(att 2/0) are all out.



Tip: MTK (-1)


England Sholing – Farnborough

if you have (and u have it for sure), play in local Farnborough 2 &T2 (farnborough to win and score over 1,5 goals)
this is cup match.
Sholing is team from 8th or 9th england league, they are semi professionals. For this they dont have keeper… First and second choice keepers Matt Brown and Lee Webber are both out, Marvin McLean, Barry Mason and Dan Miller are all injured, Kane Crisp and Sam Olafoe are also injured.
Farnborough is team coming from 5th league (conference north/south league). Quallity is deep on their side and they should win this match without any problems even if they do some rotations.
Malaga – Real Madrid , Real Madrid -1,5ah @2.13 (12bet); 2.12 (sbo,pinny,188bet)
stake: 3/10
Malaga very strong at home 4w-2d-0l but today they will met big Real Madrid who is outstanding, 10 wonmatches in a row..in last 6 league matches they scored 26 goals (o.O) its too much… Ronaldo in amazin form 20goals on 11 matches, here are also Benzema, Bale, Rodriguez, Isco …. simply Real is very strong this season and i dont see any team in the world who can make them problems.
Malaga tonight will miss 3 very important players and that will be massive blow for the team, key midifler Camacho(mf 12/1) is suspended, Amrabat(att 9/3 top scorer) and Juanmi(att 12/3 top scorer) are both injured, same as Torres(df 5/0).
So missing of key midifler/playmaker and missing of two top scorers (they have also most assists in team) will be HUGE BLOW, without this players Malaga is imo more than 40% weaker team..
Real Madrid miss only MOdric(mf 10/1) but they have big squad and they will find good replacement for him for sure, Khedira is also out.
my prediction here is an easy away win (0-3).


Tip: Farnborough

Thursday, November 20, 2014

FREE TIP 21.11.2014

France 2

Dijon - Orleans

Dijon is promotion candidate who is ultra strong on home ground, 6w-0d-0l with only 1 goal conceded. No importnat missings for this match, they also played cup match before 1 week but they won with high 0-9 on away ground so confidence and atmosfhere in team is on good level.

Orleans is new promoted side in league, their main target this season is to avoid relegation and they started good (imo that was lucky start) and after that they enter in serie of 9 matches without a win (in last round they finally win vs weak Clermont 2-1 on home ground) and stop bad serie.. 
also last week in cup match they play hard game, on penalties (120 minutes + penalties) vs weak 4th league side ...
 

main reason why i bet against them is their form on away ground lately, like i said in last match on away ground they just draw vs poor 4th league side in cup, also in league they are 5 matches without win on away ground so ..
also very important to make this bet are missings in away team, 3 very important players will miss this match.
Orleans without Brillaut(df 12/2) and Ponroy(df 10/1) - central defensive duo, both suspended. Puyo(att 13/4 top scorer) is injured.
 

The absence of two central defenders will be a massive blow for team and Dijon should use that and win this match.

Betting option: 1x2
Pick: Dijon

Odds: 1,80                               
                                
 
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