Juan Aurich - Cajamarca
3 rounds left in Peru.
Another HUGE mistake from bookies.
Juan Aurich are top team in Peru ,but first phase was not good, because
of not good conection between players and last coach. NOW they are
totally different team and can win everyone.I write in last picks that
their coach now is Roberto Mosquera who is best in Peru for sure. Then
comes great run of 6-2-0 ,but in last two games Aurich lost against
maybe best team and first favorite for the title Universitario and then
against vs Cienciano in one very hard visit on 3900m altitude.
Well,all players of Aurich and coach Mosquera want now to take ticket
for Copa Sudamericana(they are just on 4 points to Inti Gas) and the
team have chance to do this ,but first must win against Cajamarca.
What about Cajamarca ,they are tipical home team who relly only on
their home ground with artificle surface and ofcourse of the high
altitude of their city ..as newcomers they made good seasson but their
ambitions was to stay in league and now they have almost sure place in
Sudamericana(7 points more than other teams).Last round they was just
crashed 4-0 in Lima(not altitude) against one of the worst team in
league U.San Martin.Shaky defense with many mistakes and after this game
coach said that his players are tired after difficult seasson.Now will
have another hard visit in Chiclayo(located on the coast and totally
different climat with Cajamarca).
Juan Aurich are reborn with Mosquera,so in this game I see one strong motivated home team and one poor and tired travelers like Cajamarca.Big home advantage for Aurich ,as quality and experienced they are much better team ,so this is huge mistake and unreal odds from all bookies.Fair odds for home should be around @1.50 (in first game h2h this seasson home win for Aurich was priced with @1.60) and correct asian line -0.75 ...MUST WIN or DIE game for Juan Aurich...now what to do if we have around @2 to 2.25 now...its simple..just take max and run.Value odds ,high stakes for this one.GL!
Betting option: 1x2
Pick: Juan Aurich
Odds: 2.15
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