FREE TIP 23.02.2014

 Bolivia

Aurora - Sport Boys

As I said in my last pick the program in Bolivia is busy and teams has to played games in every 3 days.

Aurora start to winning points before 2 rounds ,important win at home vs Blooming 3-2 and then another point in Potosi agaisnt Real 3-3.The team is involved hard in battle against relegation and they shows big progress in last two games.Somethin other ,the board made one great step as attracted new big sponsors like Boliviana de Aviacion and Coca Cola who will put additional fresh money in the team. Aurora are big team with tradition in Bolivia and it seems they are tightened a lot not to fail.For this game coach will have one missing ,defender Amador 5/0 who got red card last game and is suspended.Striker Kukos 1/0 is back in play.Also the board make 50% discount for tickets and free entry for kids ,so its expected big support from fans.

Sport Boys are tipical home team ,relly only on home games at Warnes.Strange on all they are on first place ,but this is because of their easy program, they play only  5 games at home and 1 away game in Santa Cruz again NOT on altitude.This cant continue so and I expect drop in their form when play away from home and especially on altitude.Now they have to travel to hard place Cochabamba and to face one very motivated team of Aurora.

This is MUST OR DIE game for Aurora.They need the win on any price ,because Sport Boys is direct rival and points will affect a lot on their place.If dont win,then the chances for Aurora will be very small.
Aurora are better team for me ,will have big home advantage of 2600m altitude and big support of fans which will make hell for the away players.Sport Boys are just one small team with many old players (topstriker is 41years old) and which have many problems in such visits on high altitude.Also they never won on high altitude 6 losses and 2 draws.

Wrong odds for sure and I will go again with high stakes because the value is more than solid.Real odds for home win is around 1.50 -1.60 with asian line of -0.75 and even -1.

Betting option: 1x2
Pick: Aurora
Odds: 2.15
 

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