FREE TIP 10.05.2014

Poland 2

Arka Gdynia - Dolcan Zabki

Match of polish 1st league between Arka Gdynia and Dolcan Zabki.
If you will look at the table, you can say that both teams are fighting for promotion. False :)
Its 6 matches to end of season, and imo evrything is still possible

In my opinion teams which are ready for promotion, and they can still fighting for it are : GKS Belchatow, Arka, Leczna and maybe Olimpia Grudziadz.
No Dolcan above :).
Dolcan is definately not team which aim at promotion. Its little club, from little city (to be honest Zabki are just suburbs of Warsaw) with little stadium and little budget (but well organised - def. not 'poor') and small fanbase. They have several guys from Legia's reserves/youths plus some solid players - seems like to be enough for be a one of the top teams in this funny league . Just to add - they are solid 1st league team another year - last year the end at 7th. No big ambitions for them.
In Arka situation is different. It's big club (for 1st league conditions) with some traditions, from big city (about 250.000), with average fanbase (highest av. attendance in league) and it was obvious that this season they will be one of the strongest candidate for promotion. Last year hey end ta 5th, and it was lil bit dissapoint for fans. But imo last year 1st league was much stronger and there were several strong teams which wanted promotion (Zawisza, Cracovia, Termalica, Flota, Miedz). This year legue is much weaker.
What's more Arka's team is very strong. They have some experienced solid players like Budka, Aleksander, Slusarski (both of them are the best attacker duo in league, and they would be very solid even in Ekstraklasa) or Radzewicz. Plus some very talented youths like Rzuchowski or Szromnik.

Imo my sure candidate for promotion already is GKS Bechatow. They are 6 points above 2nd place, and we can say they are already in Ekstraklasa.
Fight will be for 2nd spot of promotion. Mainly versus Arka and Leczna. Arka has lil bit easier schedule, Leczna will have to play with Olimpia and Termalica which are solid teams. So ill give 80% chances that Arka will get to higher legu.

Anyway, tommorow match will be very important for them. In last matches Arka had some problems with missings, but now some players are back : Oleksy, Pruchnik (30/0) and Tyszczenko.
Leczna will have pretty much easier (on paper only) home match against Kolejarz Stroze (bottom part of table, but trust me - its no bet, cuz Stroze is still fight for avoid relegation).
Arka will win tommorow and ill give this bet 8/10 points of confidence.

Betting option: 1x2
Pick: Arka
Odds: 2.15
 

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