FREE TIP 11.10.2013

Estonia vs Turkey

Estonia have had a mediocre campaign, as they have lost 5 of their 8 games so far, winning only against minnows from Andorra and they will finish second from the bottom in group 4. They did pulled up a surprise, though, as they were the only side in the group to snatch a point vs group winners Netherlands (2-2) a month ago, thanks to a brace from Vassiljev. Unfortunately, they didn`t build up on that precious result and just 4 days later they were humiliated in Hungary (1-5). 

Turkey recorded a huge win in Romania (2-0), the only result which would have kept them in the race for the play-off spot and now they have realistic chances to finish second. They can`t relax, though, as they still need to win in Estonia and then to hope that already qualified Holland will play relaxed and less motivated on last matchday. No important absentees for Fatih Terim, so best lineup available is expected to start.

If Estonia can play as they did vs Netherlands, they surely can upset Turkey too, but if they show up as they did in Hungary, they have absolutely no chance. Turkey had a disastrous start of campaign, losing 3 of their opening 4 matches, but Fatih Terim managed to rebuild their morale and I don`t think they will give away this important chance they have to seal the play-off spot. Motivation can make the difference in a match and I think the guests should be much more motivated, so I expect them to win without problems. 

Betting option: 1x2
Pick: Turkey
Odds: 1.45
 

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