FREE TIP 24.10.2013

Ferreira - Dnipro

I expect the odds to drop here, somewhere around 1,70 that's why I'm posting this pick now.

Ferreira are a team that don't deserve to play in Europe. They are playing in Europa League group stages because of Portugal's coefficient and because of the team that has finished 3rd last season in Liga Sagres. The home side amased everyone by finishing 3rd last year, best performance in their history. But, because they are a small club, they couldn't afford to keep their star players and also the man who created the team, their former coach Paulo Fonseca which is now coaching FC Porto. As I said, they are playing in Europe because of Portugal's coefficient, they played in the Champions League play-offs against Zenit, lost 1-4 at home and 2-4 away from home and Zenit didn't even forced.That lost gave them access to Europa League's group stages.

Dnipro are a good team for this kind of level. They are coached by former UEFA Cup winner Juande Ramos. He's a good coach, has a lot of experience and knows hos to win this matches.Also, Dnipro has some valuable players like Konoplyanka,Matheus,Zozulya,Nikola Kalinic,Ruslan Rotan or Lastuvka.
Another important fact is that the game will be played on neutral venue, I don't know yet, maybe at Porto,Guimaraes, but anyway, not at Ferreira.So the home side can't count on home support.

So, in this situation, Ferreira lacks experience in European competitions and also lacks quality, Dnipro is much more valuable then Pacos so I can't see anything else then an away win here.
If something else happens in the next week like injuries or possible abcences, I'll let you know, but so far so good, I'm very convinced that the Ucrainians will win here.

Betting option: 1x2
Pick: Dnipro
Odds: 1.90
 

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